Alway's a good thing when a city or region is prepared to look ahead and manage proactively. The second day of a 2-day Ontario 2020 conference is under way. More at www.ontario2020conference.ca
"This conference is a great opportunity to rise above the latest crises, visualize some of our possible futures, and imagine what we can do today to build the Ontario we want tomorrow," said Warren (Smokey) Thomas, president of the Ontario Public Service Employees Union in his opening address.
Roger Martin, Dean of the Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, spoke on: "Who killed Canada's education advantage? Thomas Homer-Dixon, Chair of Global Systems at the Balsillie School of International Affairs, University of Waterloo, discussed "Building resilience and strategies for coping with an uncertain future." Mary Robinson former president of Ireland and current Chair of The Ethical Globalization Initiative, will spoke on "prosperity and compassion."
The two-day conference will build and discuss possible scenarios of the future in four key areas: the economy, community, health care, and education. Ontario 2020 is chaired by noted Canadian journalist Wendy Mesley.
Showing posts with label energy scenarios. Show all posts
Showing posts with label energy scenarios. Show all posts
Friday, March 5, 2010
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
Shell scenario 'how to' book from 2003 available here
The classic Shell Scenario methods book, 'Scenarios: An Explorer's Guide' (2003) is available for free download here.
The book is a graphics-heavy 'take' on scenario planning, quite whimsical, no doubt all about fighting the good fight with the Dutch engineers and Scottish accountants that 'are' the Shell establishment. It's hardly the last word in scenario methods, but still interesting for what it is.
On of the key things about it is it uses the metaphor of exploration and map-making to describe how to think about building scenarios. Says Shell: "Like a set of maps describing different aspects of a landscape, scenarios provide us with a range of perspectives on what might happen, helping us to navigate more successfully."
The book describes the approach used to develop Shell's ‘People and Connections’ scenarios circa 2000 under Ged Davis. As Shell comment: "Since then, scenarios guided by Albert Bressand have been published, and more recently Shell has published a summary of its Energy Scenarios, ‘Scramble’ and ‘Blueprints’, developed under the guidance of the current leadership. These have built on, and extended, our approach. Indeed, Shell has been working with scenarios for almost 40 years, and we are still learning."
Amen to that.
The book is a graphics-heavy 'take' on scenario planning, quite whimsical, no doubt all about fighting the good fight with the Dutch engineers and Scottish accountants that 'are' the Shell establishment. It's hardly the last word in scenario methods, but still interesting for what it is.
On of the key things about it is it uses the metaphor of exploration and map-making to describe how to think about building scenarios. Says Shell: "Like a set of maps describing different aspects of a landscape, scenarios provide us with a range of perspectives on what might happen, helping us to navigate more successfully."
The book describes the approach used to develop Shell's ‘People and Connections’ scenarios circa 2000 under Ged Davis. As Shell comment: "Since then, scenarios guided by Albert Bressand have been published, and more recently Shell has published a summary of its Energy Scenarios, ‘Scramble’ and ‘Blueprints’, developed under the guidance of the current leadership. These have built on, and extended, our approach. Indeed, Shell has been working with scenarios for almost 40 years, and we are still learning."
Amen to that.
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